Iowa pollster Ann Selzer suggests her data could have galvanized Republican voters into proving it wrong
Selzer's poll claimed Vice President Kamala Harris was leading former President Trump in Iowa
Published November 8, 2024 6:00am EST
MONTAGE: Media goes all in on Iowa poll showing Harris lead, sees canary in the coal mine for Trump
MSNBC, CNN and the hosts of "The View" went all in on the results of a new Des Moines Register poll that found Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by three points in Iowa.
Pollster J. Ann Selzer suggested her pre-election Iowa poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris in the lead had "energize[d] and activate[d] Republican voters" to prove it wrong in her post-mortem Thursday.
Her Des Moines Register/Mediacom shock poll showed a 7-point shift from President-elect Donald Trump to Harris from September, when he had a 4-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%), to Saturday when she was up 3 (47% to 44%), in a state Trump had carried easily in 2016 and 2020 and hadn't been considered a swing state in 2024.
Much of the media took her words as gospel, as pundits on MSNBC, CNN and ABCâs "The View" all celebrated the forecast, hoping it was a positive sign for Harris on Election Day. After the results came in, Trump supporters and conservatives quickly slammed and mocked Selzerâs poll.
Selzer wrote in an op-ed for the Des Moines Register that she had been getting bombarded with criticism and questions. In response, she suggested her poll itself may have shifted the state for Trump.
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